Political "Solutions"
By Thomas Sowell
Tuesday, October 30, 2007It is
remarkable how many political "solutions" today are dealing with
problems created by previous political "solutions." Three examples that
come to mind immediately are the housing market crisis, the wildfires in
southern California, and the water shortages in the west.
Congress and the Bush administration are currently vying with each
other to come up with a solution to the housing crisis, brought on by
widespread defaults on home mortgage loans -- especially defaults by
those who took out risky "subprime" loans.
Why were borrowers taking out risky loans in the first place? And why
were lenders willing to lend to risky borrowers? In both cases, the
government was a prime factor in "subprime" loans.
Many people took out risky mortgage loans to buy a house because
housing prices were so high that this was the only way they could own a
home. Where housing prices were highest, the most people took out risky
loans.
In the San Francisco Bay Area, where housing prices are the highest
in the nation, risky interest-only loans went from being 11 percent of
all new mortgages in 2002 to being 66 percent of all new mortgages in
2005.
Study after study has shown that housing prices are highest where
government restrictions on building are the most severe. That is the
ugly result of pretty words like "open space."
Why were lenders lending to people whose prospects of repaying the
loans were below average -- that is, "subprime"?
Government laws and policies, especially the Community Reinvestment
Act, pressured lenders to invest in people and places where they would
not invest otherwise. Government also created the temporarily very low
interest rates that made the mortgages seem affordable for the moment.
Now that politicians have created this mess, they are ready to play
heroes riding to the rescue.
As for the flames sweeping across southern California, tragic as that
is, this has happened time and again before -- in the very same places
in the very same time of year, just like hurricanes.
Why would people risk building million-dollar homes in the known
paths of wildfires? For the same reason that people choose to live in
the known paths of hurricanes. Because the government -- that is, the
taxpayers -- will get stuck with a lot of the costs of dealing with
those dangers and the costs of rebuilding.
Why is there such a huge amount of inflammable vegetation over such a
wide area that fires can reach unstoppable proportions by the time they
get to places where people live? Because "open space" has become a
political sacred cow beyond rational discussion.
The same severe government restrictions on building that drive home
prices sky high also lead to vast areas with nothing but trees and
bushes. Where it doesn't rain for months, that's dangerous.
No matter how much open space there is, it is never enough for
environmental extremists, who will make political trouble if anyone is
allowed to break up those miles and miles of solid vegetation with
buildings, even though pavement and masonry don't burn.
In other words, government preserves all the conditions for wildfires
and subsidizes people who live in their path.
As for water shortages, they are as endemic to California as
wildfires. But when an economist hears about a shortage that persists
for years, the first question that comes to mind is: Why doesn't the
price rise until supply and demand are equal?
If you said, "the government," go to the head of the class.
The federal government's water projects supply much of the water used
in California that enables agriculture to flourish in what would
otherwise be a desert.
The government sells this water to farmers at prices artificially
lower than the cost of providing it -- and at a tiny fraction of what
people pay for water in Los Angeles or San Francisco.
Is it news, at this late date, that people waste things that they get
cheap? It's been happening for centuries.
But none of the political "solutions" through drastic water rationing
schemes will touch the cheap prices of water that lead farmers to grow
crops requiring huge amounts of water in a desert.
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